Series Preview: Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles Angels

When the angels come to town on Friday, it will be the first time the sailors have seen them in over a month. The last time the two teams met in late June, they were nearly deadlocked, in terms of records, as the Angels lost a bit of their early-season brilliance and the sailors began fighting their way out of their miserable May-June coma. And we mean fight, because the last time these two teams saw each other, well, You may know what happened.

Since then, the two teams could not have gone in more different directions. The sailors worked their way up to second in the division and gave themselves a better chance of being out on the wild card dock, and the angels… they didn’t. Things went very poorly for the Angels, 3-15 records in July and a historically low team hit rate of 0.15, to the news that Mike Trout has been diagnosed with a back injury It takes more than a working knowledge of WebMD to understand it, to the eventual sale of some of their players on the trade deadline, including rookie Noah Syndergaard, who has signed a one-year contract, akin to Raisel Iglesias, who had just signed a four-year contract before this season, and young defensive player Brandon Marsh.

I’m actually not even sure who the angels are anymore? Nor what do seafarers in their official rotation do? It all got more complicated by a double header on Saturday? So take this list of potential pitchers with a very large grain of salt.

Quick overview

sailors Angels
sailors Angels
1 . game Friday 5 August | 7:10 pm
LHP Ruby Ray LHP Patrick Sandoval
60% 40%
Game 2 (DH) Saturday 6 August | 1:10 pm
RHP George Kirby RHP Touki Toussaint
57% 43%
The third game (DH) Saturday, August 6 | 7:10 pm
RHP Chris Flexen LHP Red Detmers
57% 43%
4 . game Sunday 7 August | 1:10 pm
LHP Marco Gonzalez LHP Tucker Davidson
56% 44%

*Game odds courtesy of Fangraves

Also worth noting: I’m previewing this series because Jake is going out this week to welcome a brand new baby into his family. Big congratulations to Jake! But also, please excuse any and all errors because I “have no idea what to do with the dog” trying to mess with Jake’s tables. Sorry Jake! I hope you have copies of all of this stuff.

Team overview

Summary Angels sailors edge
Summary Angels sailors edge
hit (wRC +) 92 (13th in AL) 106 (fifth in AL) sailors
Fielding (OAA) 1 (tenth) 8 (seventh) sailors
Rotation Initiation (FIP-) 93 (fourth) 113 (twelfth) Angels
Bullpen (FIP-) 101 (X) 99 (seventh) sailors

Shohei Ohtani single-handedly catches the Angels starting mark while Marco single-handedly pushes the sailors down, but I think we all know those numbers aren’t as close as they seem. Consider larger sailors’ edges with trade deadline moves into account.

Angels assortment

player Site bat Palestinian Authority baby wRC + BSR
player Site bat Palestinian Authority baby wRC + BSR
Taylor Ward RF R 335 0.337 139 1.0
Shuhei Ohtani DH The 433 0.284 133 0.4
Jared Walsh 1 b The 382 0.298 89 -1.3
Luis Renjevo 2B s 265 0.320 110 2.2
Max Stasi c R 253 0.287 87 -2.0
Jose Rojas 3 b The 27 0.158 -28 -0.1
Andrew Velasquez SS s 262 0.248 35 2.8
I am fair LF R 141 0.325 81 -0.3
Kurt Suzuki c R 119 0.21 64 -0.8
Mike Trout CF R 262 0.333 187 -0.9

Compiling that table now versus what it looked like a month ago or since the start of the season was daunting. Not only are many Halos mainstays in IL—Mike Trout, Matt Duffy, and Anthony Rendon—many others have been sacked in deals: There’s no longer Brandon Marsh or Tyler Wade. I had to look at the result of the box from Thursday to start taking the risk of guessing which players might go in, so again, forgive me if there are mistakes. Mickey Moniak looks like he’s going to take Trout into center while he’s off as Jo Adell is hardly a cornerback, but Magneuris Sierra is in the mix as well, and several other players on the roster have flexibility in positioning to cover some of the field. For now, though, the angels throw things at the wall and see what’s hanging.

Potential jugs

Updated stuff + explanation

Again, we apologize very much here, as this is Jake’s field and I don’t know enough about who might start making beautiful tables, nor how to make beautiful tables. I compiled this list of potential newbies from some Twitter searches for various Angel Beats and fan sites. The only thing we know for sure is that we’ll see Patrick Sandoval to start the series, so this is what Jake has written about lefties in the past:

It’s hard to tell Patrick Sandoval. He has one of the best changes in baseball with a whiff rate of 50%. He can manipulate the pitch to generate more vertical or horizontal movement depending on what the situation requires but the end result is usually the same: the swing stroke. He also has a pair of good broken balls with the slider being his weapon of choice against left-handed hitters. The problem is his fastball. Of all the four-stitch fastballs thrown at least 100 times this year, his swing hit rate is the fourth-lowest of all time. That’s a big reason why his hit rate is three points lower than last year despite his arsenal filled with excellent secondary weapons.

Since that writing, Sandoval’s hit rate has rebounded perfectly to his 2021 numbers, but he’s walking further, and it shows his leadership problems haven’t settled themselves yet. He’s also been very fortunate with a 4.9% HR/FB average, which is a third of his career mark, but so far in the second rate he’s allowing about 100 points (444.) regression soon.

Aside from Sandoval, the Mariners won’t see any other mainstays of the Angels’ throwing spin: Otani threw on Wednesday, Sendergaard went, and Michael Lorenzen was hit. At some point they’ll have to contend with Reid Detmers and his curve ball, as well as his tendency to check out his major on-court accomplishments: He’s already had a no-hitter and a Taher under his belt this year. The Detmers were drawn to Triple-A just before the Mariners face the Angels in late June after being a bit rough in their previous two games, but have been strong since returning to the club, giving up only three winning runs in July; However, due to the incompetence of the attacking angels and crew, he was awarded a win in only one of those four competitions.

The sailors will also surely witness the return of the trading angels from Atlanta to Iglesias, Tucker Davidson. The 26-year-old has spent most of this season at Triple-A but will be pressured into serving the Angels’ big league. Davidson doesn’t have a big fastball – 91-93 mph – but he is able to ride it in a way that induces soft contact. His second score is a slider that flashes above average but lacks consistency, and he’ll throw a 12-6 curve ball which grades as average or slightly below. This is the type of archer who shouldn’t hold back a sailor’s attack, yet he often does.

In addition to Davidson, there’s a good chance the Mariners will see a fair amount of the other part of Iglesias’ trade revenue in his old friend Jesse Chavez. Touki Touissant, which was acquired from Atlanta in early July for money, has been listed in some places as a potential starter for a two-headed game, but the Angels had to use it Thursday as an emergency fill-in for 4.1 rounds when he lit up rookie Janson Junk in 2.1 innings of action, And give up six earned runs. That’s fine for me, because I really like Touki, who played with Peoria Javelinas in 2017, and I don’t want to attack him.


The Big Picture:

Al Gharb

Team WL W% games behind last model
Team WL W% games behind last model
Astros 69-38 0.645 WLLLLW
sailors 57-49 0.538 11.5 WLLWW
Notice 47-58 0.448 21.0 WLLLLW
Angels 44-61 0.419 24.0 WLLWLL
Athletics 41-66 0.383 28.0 LLLWW

Wild Card Racing

Team WL W% games behind last model
Team WL W% games behind last model
blue jays 59-46 0.562 +3.0 7-3
sailors 57-49 0.538 +0.5 6-4
rays 56-49 0.533 4-6
Orioles 54-41 0.514 2.0 7-3
guardians 54-41 0.514 2.0 6-4
white socks 53-52 0.505 3.0 6-4
red socks 53-54 0.495 4.0 4-6

Not much has changed here since our last preview recording, but watch out for those Orioles, who are sneaking up on the Wild Card race. The stench takes root against the Orioles but sorry, Birdland, a girl has to do what she must.